Polls Show Romney, Obama in Tight Race
by Tom McGregor    Thu, Sep 20, 2012, 01:49 AM
Able Tracker.jpgDespite recent difficulties with GOP nominee Mitt Romney’s presidential campaign, he still has a good chance of winning the White House. So it seems that many American voters have lost hope in Obama and could elect a candidate who doesn’t inspire them.

According to the Chicago Tribune, “after last month’s Republican National convention, a Gallup poll showed President Barack Obama nursing a 1 percentage-point advantage over challenger Mitt Romney wihle Romney was up 3 points in a Rasmussen poll. CNN had the two even.”

Here’s another ironic twist. The mainstream media has been hammering Mitt Romney, but in some polls he has inched up. Rasmussen Reports shows that he’s now leading in Colorado and New Hampshire.

Perhaps, the Obama media-aligned attack machine is beginning to backfire as American voters feel that Romney criticisms have become too over-the-top.   

To read the entire article from the Chicago Tribune, link here:

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written by Jonathan Green , September 20, 2012

National '12 President General Election
Barack Obama 51%
Mitt Romney 42%
Other 7%

written by Jonathan Green , September 20, 2012

Barack Obama (D)
Barack Obama (D)

111 Swing State
221 Leaning/Likely

Mitt Romney (R)
Mitt Romney (R)

15 Swing State
191 Leaning/Likely

270 of 538 Electoral Votes to Win

written by Jonathan Green , September 20, 2012

Romney is going to go down in a land slide.

written by Jonathan Green , September 20, 2012

MIAMI, Fla -- Mitt Romney's campaign produced a 10-minute documentary film about the candidate that forced even liberal Democrats, when it was shown at the Republican National Convention, to admit that it was a moving portrayal of Romney's life and values.

The problem is not very many people have seen the video, and the Romney campaign appears to have made little effort to change that. Romney revealed to donors in Atlanta on Wednesday that he himself had not seen the entire thing until it was shown before his remarks at a fundraiser.

Romney said the footage of his deceased father, former Michigan Gov. George Romney, "brought a tear to my eye."

"It touched my heart,” Romney said.

But the Romney campaign has done little to highlight the film. It's not featured on the campaign's website or YouTube page. It has a decent number of views on YouTube -- 145,000 as of Thursday morning -- but there are 25 other Romney campaign videos that have been seen more times, including a few that have over 1 million views. To find it online takes far more effort than it should.
But the Romney campaign has done little to highlight the film. It's not featured on the campaign's website or YouTube page. It has a decent number of views on YouTube -- 145,000 as of Thursday morning -- but there are 25 other Romney campaign videos that have been seen more times, including a few that have over 1 million views. To find it online takes far more effort than it should.

It's the clearest example of how a promised push by the Republican nominee's campaign to better introduce their candidate to the nation, and to counter the image of him as a heartless corporate raider, has not materialized.

The Romney campaign said the Republican convention at the end of August would kick off a more aggressive telling of the Romney story. In fact, up until now, it appears that the convention was the beginning and the end of that effort.

Senior Romney adviser Ed Gillespie said Monday that at the convention "voters learned a lot about Romney as a person," and that now "they're eager to hear more details about policies to turn our economy around." In other words, the campaign has already checked the bio box.

But Republican insiders have been encouraging the campaign to get back to talking up Mitt, and who he is, so far with little luck.

written by Jonathan Green , September 20, 2012

Whoopi Goldberg went on a Twitter rant Wednesday night against Mitt Romney, calling him a "confused candidate" who "flushed his ideals down the drain" and "sheds ideas faster than a snake sheds skin."

The co-host of ABC's "The View" wasn't at Wednesday's show, when the co-hosts discussed the GOP presidential nominee's comments in a recently released undercover video that "47 percent" of voters are "dependent upon government," think of themselves as "victims" and will vote for President Barack Obama "no matter what."

But in that video, shot at a closed-door Florida fundraiser in May, Romney also took a dig at "The View," on which he'll appear on in October.

"'The View' is high risk because of the five women on it," Romney said at the time. "Only one is conservative and four are sharp-tongued and not conservative, Whoopi Goldberg in particular. Although the last time I was on the show, she said to me, 'You know what? I think I could vote for you.' And I said, 'I must have done something really wrong.'"

So Goldberg fired back via Twitter. Take a look, after the jump:

Whoopi Goldberg


Tweet to Mitt Romney, I once had a great deal of respect for you and many of ur stances. You believed like Teddy Kennedy in healthcare and
19 Sep 12


Whoopi Goldberg


A woman's right to choose and u seemed to actually care about ur people. That was the man I said was someone worth voting for & I said it

written by Jonathan Green , September 20, 2012

Nevada Sen. Dean Heller on Wednesday became the latest Republican Senate candidate locked in a competitive race to distance himself from GOP presidential nominee Mitt Romney's "47 percent" remarks, which came to light after the wide release of a hidden camera video that documented Romney's appearance at a Boca Raton fundraiser. Heller joined Connecticut Senate aspirant Linda McMahon and Massachusetts Sen. Scott Brown in disowning Romney's take on the portion of the electorate he deemed to be "victims" who could not be convinced to forego government assistance.

Well, Hawaii Senate candidate Linda Lingle lingered a little longer without making a comment on Romney's lapsus linguae, but now she, too, has parted ways with him over the "victims" flap. The Honolulu Star Advertiser has the story:

'I am not a rubber stamp for the national party and I am not responsible for the statements of Mitt Romney,' Lingle said in an email. 'With that said, I do not agree with his characterization of all individuals who are receiving government assistance, as I know many of them are driven, hard-working individuals who are actively working to better the situation of their ‘ohana. It is not fair to place these individuals into any one category. The people of Hawaii know I don’t believe in labels and I know they don’t either.'

Lingle, a former governor of Hawaii, is facing a steeper climb in her Senate bid than any of the other Republican candidates who have come out against the remarks of their party's standardbearer, but her Democratic opponent, Rep. Mazie Hirono, had swiftly criticized Romney, so it seems that Lingle had no choice if she wanted to keep the race competitive. The last time Hawaii voters were polled, Hirono was up by 19 points.

In addition to Lingle, former Virginia Sen. George Allen, running against former Gov. Tim Kaine in a bid to return to the Senate, also distanced himself from Romney's remarks in a debate Thursday, saying that he has "his own point of view" on the matter, and that Americans "don't look at themselves as victims."

[Hat tip: National Journal]

[Would you like to follow me on Twitter? Because why not?]

written by Jonathan Green , September 20, 2012

Fox News released a new poll Thursday showing that President Barack Obama leads Mitt Romney in three battleground states, topping off a week of bad-news polling for the Republican presidential nominee in toss-up states.

The poll, which covered Ohio, Virginia and Florida, shows Obama leading the former governor by seven points in both Ohio (49 to 42 percent) and Virginia (50 to 43 percent). In Florida, Obama leads by five points (49 to 44 percent), which is within the poll's margin of error. Obama won all three states in 2008, marking the first time Virginia voted for a Democratic president since 1964.

In Michigan and Wisconsin, Obama has also opened up a lead against his rival: A CNN poll puts him up eight points in Michigan (52 to 44 percent), and one from Marquette Law School has Obama leading Romney by 14 points in Wisconsin (54 to 40 percent). In August, Obama led Romney in Wisconsin by only three points.

New York Times pollster Nate Silver notes that Obama tends to do better against Romney in polls that include cell phones and use live interviewers instead of automated questions. (About a third of U.S. households are cell phone-only.) Silver writes that Obama has shown a clear lead in the 16 cell phone-inclusive polls of seven top battleground states taken since the convention. (The Fox, CNN and Marquette Law School polls all included cell phones.) On average, he's shown a 5.8 percentage point lead in these surveys. The exception is Colorado, where Obama and Romney are neck and neck.

But there's some evidence that the "bounce" Obama has enjoyed since the Democratic National Convention in Charlotte, N.C., may be dissipating. The Romney campaign has pointed to the Gallup national tracking poll, which found Romney and Obama in a dead tie this week, and a recent Rasmussen poll showed Romney leading Obama by three points in New Hampshire.

Our poll tracker, which averages all national polls, has Obama leading by a little under four points.

written by Jonathan Green , September 20, 2012

In the two weeks since the Democratic National Convention, Democratic Senate candidates have been making considerable gains in the polls in several closely contested races across the country.

Currently, a combination of returning senators and candidates leading in 2012 contests would give the Democrats 48 seats, with 51 needed for a majority. One independent candidate likely to caucus with the Democrats is leading in Maine, while another six races where neither candidate has led consistently are widely considered toss-ups. In three of those toss-up states -- Wisconsin, Massachusetts and Florida -- the Democratic candidates appear to have made gains since the Democratic convention.

The biggest shift has been in Wisconsin, where three of four polls conducted after the Democratic convention show Democratic Rep. Tammy Baldwin moving ahead of former Gov. Tommy Thompson. Most polls conducted earlier in the year had shown Baldwin trailing.

Though the race remains a toss-up, the HuffPost Pollster chart for the race, based on all available polls, currently gives Baldwin a slight edge (47.2 to 46.4 percent). She had trailed Thompson by 5 to 6 percentage points for much of the year.

written by joshua , September 20, 2012

only college kids and ignorant black voters...and some addle brained single white women.....no landslide there...

Obama and his crooked administration are TOAST...



GALLUP: O 47% R 47%...


Jewish support down 7% in FLA... SURVEY: Only 15 Percent Of Democrats Believe Economic News Is Bad...

written by K. D. , September 21, 2012

Well, Ol' Jonathan seems to like the Socilist & has analyuzed Mitt....Obama is easy...He is a Socialist who the Media loves! They give no play to his saying he believes in redistribution of what wealth we have left!

The race is not over & the View with Woopi will be far from the deciding factor!

written by Jonathan Green , September 21, 2012

If you're a Romney partisan, and you've seen Barack Obama move ahead in the polls over the last couple of weeks, you may be saying to yourself, "Maybe the debates can save him." After all, the four debates (three presidential, one VP) are the the only planned events between now and election day. Though you never know what kind of unexpected events might occur, tens of millions of voters will be watching. And so many times in the past, the race has been transformed by a dramatic debate moment.

Except that's actually not true. As John Sides lays out quite well, after all the sound and fury, debates almost never change the trajectory of the race. Of course, something never happens up until the moment that it happens, but there's strong reason to believe that the debates will change nothing this year in particular. But before I get to that, here's Sides:

Why are presidential debates so often inconsequential? After all, many voters do pay attention. Debates routinely attract the largest audience of any televised campaign event. And voters do learn new information, according to several academic studies. But this new information is not likely to change many minds. The debates occur late in the campaign, long after the vast majority of voters have arrived at a decision. Moreover, the debates tend to attract viewers who have an abiding interest in politics and are mostly party loyalists. Instead of the debates affecting who they will vote for, their party loyalty affects who they believe won the debates. For example, in a CNN poll after one of the 2008 debates, 85 percent of Democrats thought that Obama had won, but only 16 percent of Republicans agreed.

All those memorable gaffes—George H.W. looking at his watch, Michael Dukakis not pounding his lecturn at the suggestion of his wife's rape and murder, Al Gore sighing—turn out not to have had any discernible impact on the race. What was almost certainly the most disastrous debate performance of all—Dan Quayle's in 1988—did not, you may recall, prevent him from becoming Vice President.

And this year is even less likely to produce anything significant. As James Fallows explained, Mitt Romney is at his best when he can prepare carefully, and at his worst when he's taken by surprise. Over the course of the 500 or so primary debates the Republicans held, he was clearly the most informed and serious-seeming of the GOP candidates. Of course, besting Rick Perry and Michele Bachmann in verbal combat doesn't exactly make you the Ted Williams of debating, but there's little doubt Romney will show himself to reasonably knowledgeable, for what it's worth. His problem, though, is that it isn't worth much. He doesn't need to convince Americans he can recite a ten-point plan, he needs to convince them that within him beats the heart of an actual human, one who understands and cares about them. The chances of him doing that are pretty slim.

written by joshua , September 22, 2012

green is incapable of anything original...he just cuts and pastes stuff from folks he believes are smarter than he is....and in fact, they might be...just none are too bright at all.

written by Jonathan Green , September 25, 2012

All this false propaganda is so amusing, Romney is going to get land slided. you cannot buy the people, you buy media but not the people.

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