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Elephants Swing Their Flags in Houston PDF Print E-mail
by Jeff Turner    Mon, Jun 16, 2008, 06:55 PM

Republicans are scared.  They desperately want to show the political world a unified front for their team, from president to county tax assessor.  Frightened?  Desperate?  Are these the themes emerging from the just concluded Texas Republican Party State Convention?

          There were more than a few references to “Dallas in ’06.”  Texas Democrats have made it their strategy to accomplish in Harris County what they accomplished – by default, I may add – in “Dallas County in ’06.”  For those just enrolled in Texas Politics 101, in the off-year 2006 elections, many Dallas County Republicans voted their disapproval of their national party’s record by staying away from the polls, thereby allowing Democrats to take control of countywide offices and even one state House seat.  No analyst has explained why this phenomenon failed to occur in other metropolitan areas.  Nonetheless, one senses a palpable nervousness now among Texas Republicans that not only will they not retake Dallas County but that they will lose offices throughout the state, especially in the legislature.

So, what do they prescribe for their indigestion?  Here is where it gets interesting.  The Party’s leaders and elders suggest a strong dose of unity.  “Unite!” they urge.  “Unite behind John McCain.   Like it or not, he’s our standard bearer, our best chance to keep Barack Obama out of the Oval Office.”  (Many shuffling around Houston’s George Brown Convention Center this past week sported lapel buttons that read “NOBAMA.”)  One cannot help but form a mental picture of that memorable scene from Braveheart in which William Wallace appears at a convention of the leaders of all the clans: “Unite us!  Unite the clans.”  Will the plot repeat itself in the Republican Party?  Will John McCain be betrayed?  The answer may depend on how well he watches his back.

          While America waits for the answer, new activists, and some old ones with new ideas, are replenishing the Texas GOP.  At one Congressional District Caucus, for example, an informal survey of a random row of eight seats across showed three filled with individuals experiencing all the thrills and agonies of their first state convention.  Yes, a goodly percentage of delegates, old and new, had supported Congressman Ron Paul in the primary.  These delegates, as well as some of the Old Guard, think that the most conservative approach to the Party’s indigestion is to lay off the sweets and the coffee, to stay away from the fats.  Especially the cream-filled earmarks, that double-latte of No Child Left Behind and Medicare Part D Prescription Coverage, and, of course, the fat of war.

          Ah, the war.  Or is it the War?  The word hung in the air like the humidity outside the Convention Center.  And, as with humidity, some people just get used to it.  Some even prefer it over other climes.  Folks on and off the stage spoke lovingly of “our” troops, seemingly forgetting that “our” troops belong, firstly, to families, to faith communities, to friendships and neighborhoods.  Only secondly do they belong, if at all, to the nation-state.  Least of all to any political party.

          But while the War was mentioned often (there were a number of platitudes let loose, such as, “We’re fightin’ ‘em over there so we don’t have to fight ‘em over here”), it was never discussed beyond the superficial.  The virtues and vices of nation-building in Iraq and Afghanistan (and now possibly in Iran).  The fact that “our “ troops are caught in a civil war between “their” two Shiite parties, the Sadr and the Badr, before this fall’s planned parliamentary elections.  The million or more war widows and orphans and other refugees potentially destabilizing Syria, Jordan, and other countries.  The all but disappearing and persecuted Iraqi Christians.  The recently reported higher than usual suicide rate among veterans.  The almost unbearable strain multiple deployments place on soldiers and their families.  The one billion dollar Baghdad embassy and the permanent military bases now under construction near that country’s oil deposits.  The hundreds of billions of dollars already borrowed and spent (no taxpayer alive today has had to open his wallet to pay for the War; future generations will do that).  No one raised any of these vital issues when given the opportunity to address the delegates.

          And that’s unfortunate.  Because these issues go to a question that separates the Party’s leaders and elders from what one elder delegate politely called the “new blood.”  And that question is whether launching a constitutionally undeclared, unprovoked war against a sister nation-state is conservative.  In other words, does an unjust war ever make for a true conservative foreign policy?  Even some of the long-serving delegates understand that this is the question, but they contend that, regardless, we must “support our troops” by keeping them in harm’s way, well-equipped and well-trained to be sure, until the “job is done.”  This despite the fact that the President and his generals haven’t a clue how to “form a more perfect union, establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty” in a country that has never had the philosophical or historical foundation upon which to build a free and popular government.

          Which leads one to the next question.  After I reach across the back seat and poke my brother in the eye, what should I do next?  Keep poking him until he goes blind and can’t hit me on my side of the car?  Wait till Dad hears about that!

          I believe the Republicans have a better shot at it than they think.  For when people get scared and desperate, they are capable of doing extraordinary things, like win elections.  Will the Texas GOP unite?  Or will “Dallas in ‘06” become “Texas in ’08.”  John McCain is the best person – perhaps the only person – who can cure this indigestion.  Senator Obama has no foreign policy other than to “hope” that a “change” in Presidents magically will bring peace and democracy to the tribes of the Mesopotamian desert.  That leaves a void for Senator McCain to fill.  If he will formulate and articulate a clearly thought out, contextualized, conservative plan to bring “our” troops home to their families as soon as militarily possible, with their (not his or Bush’s) dignity intact (the 99-year plan won’t cut it), he could both unite his Party and cut the fat.  If he can do this, Texas Republicans will race to November with confidence.  

         

Jeff Turner is a Dallas lawyer and a fellow in constitutional studies at the College of St. Thomas More in Fort Worth.  He also was a seated alternate delegate to the Republican State Convention.

Comments (19)add comment
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written by Jonathan Green , June 17, 2008

Republicans should be fearful, with all this mess George Bush got this country in.


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written by michael a. , June 17, 2008

I totally agree with what Mr. Turner said except to say that part of the change and hope Sen. Obama talks about with respect to the war will be ending it. That ends the money pit and the blood letting to our troops and that is the greatest support we can show them. As long as Sen. McCain continues to tell the people of this nation that the war was necessary and must continue he will probably lose. Sen. McCain and Bush can't even tell you what winning this war looks like. They forgot the Powell doctrine which was know your objective and acomplish it quickly and get out because if you break it you buy it. Mr. Powell never forgot the ghost of Vietnam breathing down his neck when he was the Chairman of the Joint Chiefs. Maybe that's why he's considering voting for Obama. The shame of his stint at the UN, too much for him.

I hope the people of my state wake up and realize their part in pushing this President on the world, we are partly at fault. A trip to the Hague for war crimes would be appropriate for Bush, Cheney and Rumsfeld. And that is conservative because they have broken the rule of law.



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written by dt , June 17, 2008

Perhaps they were not discussed at the convention because the average delegate does not buy into your premises about the war. Many people don't. The responses of Jonathan, Michael, and, no doubt, Grrr mean nothing; they are merely opinions and more blowing in the wind to support a partisan agenda. The tendency among liberals is to assume their conclusions cannot be contradicted, and then try to explain the "ignorance" or bad faith, or "criminality" or whatnot, of those who disagree with them. This seems to be your attitude toward the other delegates at the convention.

Tell me, Jeff, do you have a Republican voting history, or did you worm your way in at the District Convention as some Republicans did with the Democrats?

And, finally, this statement:

"This despite the fact that the President and his generals haven’t a clue how to “form a more perfect union, establish justice, insure domestic tranquility, provide for the common defense, promote the general welfare, and secure the blessings of liberty” in a country that has never had the philosophical or historical foundation upon which to build a free and popular government." Are you saying the Iraqi people are incapable of building a free and popular government? This is elitist at best and betrays the intellectual snobbery that is typical with liberals. You seem to say that the Iraqis are capable of forming only a dictatorial or authoritarian regime. It is not our job to build the government; it is our job to give the Iraqis the opportunity to build such a government themselves. It is happening and will happen unless people like you continue to associate yourself with those who would espouse any doctrine, argue any side of any case, and commit to any position, that would hurt Republicans and Bush.

I must respond to something Michael a. said: Michael, the greatest support you can show the troops is not ending the fighting and the "bloodletting," but in doing all you can to see that their suffering and deaths were not in vain. If you knew anything about military people, you would know that.





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written by Ex GOP , June 17, 2008

The GOP was worked hard throughout Bush and Cheney's tenure to repeatedly earn and defend its failures. What can they possibly be afraid of? Actions have consequences.


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written by Ken Dickson This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it , June 17, 2008

The Repubs I know feel we can beat this monstrosity!!...He is no Senator that has done anything, he preaches change without mentioning change to what, he talks of being "all inclusive" but is totally partisian in everything he says, & he just boils down to another tax & spend liberal with no plan!!...Sorry...the media may love him, but the regular guy does not & is scared to death of what he brings as baggage!!


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written by michael a. , June 17, 2008

dt, you're right, I don't know anything about military people, just people. So tell me, what do military people think about being lied to and sent to war, being kept long past their agreed up time to serve, having no clear objective for what a "win" is or strategy for coming home? What about the guardsmen that never dreamed they'd be plucked from their lives, their families, their careers, their mortgages? I could go on but I'll let you blow the winds of a partisan agenda on those for now. Tell me how it's better to keep doing it rather than stop.


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written by Ian Perry , June 17, 2008

"Are you saying the Iraqi people are incapable of building a free and popular government? This is elitist at best and betrays the intellectual snobbery that is typical with liberals. You seem to say that the Iraqis are capable of forming only a dictatorial or authoritarian regime. It is not our job to build the government; it is our job to give the Iraqis the opportunity to build such a government themselves"

I think Mr. Turner is merely pointing out that it is a betrayel of conservative principles to suppose that an anti-conservative Wilsonian "Crusade for Democracy" is any way to help the troops.

"But she does not go abroad, in search of monsters to destroy. She is the well-wisher to the freedom and independence of all. She is the champion and vindicator only of her own. … She well knows that by once enlisting under other banners than her own, were they even the banners of foreign independence, she would involve herself beyond the power of extrication, in all the wars of interest and intrigue, of individual avarice, envy and ambition, which assume the colors and usurp the standard of freedom. The fundamental maxims of her policy would insensibly change from liberty to force. … She might become the dictatress of the world. She would no longer be the ruler of her own spirit."
--John Quincy Adams



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written by A Dallas County Analyst , June 18, 2008

As a Dallas County Democrat who's paid attention to election trends over the past several cycles, I must disagree with the end of this statement:

"For those just enrolled in Texas Politics 101, in the off-year 2006 elections, many Dallas County Republicans voted their disapproval of their national party’s record by staying away from the polls, thereby allowing Democrats to take control of countywide offices and even one state House seat. No analyst has explained why this phenomenon failed to occur in other metropolitan areas."

A less motivated Republican base certainly contributed to the Democratic sweep in 2006, but it was by no means the determinate factor. Look at Dallas County returns from 1996 to 2006 to get a bigger picture. In 1996 and 1998, Democrats were shut out of Dallas County downballot races. In 2000, Republicans still won all countywide races but two Democratic candidates came close - Chuck Munoz got 47% of the vote for sheriff and Mary Ann Huey got over 49% in a judicial race.

Seeing this, Democrats ran a much larger slate of judicial candidates in 2002, and had their first victory in awhile with Sally Montgomery (who benefited from some Republican support). However, the rest of Democrats only got about 48% of the vote on average.

In 2004, the average countywide Democrat got about 50% of the vote in Dallas County, and thus the parties split the countywide races.

In 2006, the average Democrat got 52-53% of the vote and thus won every contested race.

Notice a trend anyone? It's largely demographic. More Hispanics are moving to Dallas County, and while many are not citizens yet, many have become citizens, and many have children who are citizens who at 18 enter the electorate. Meanwhile suburban White voters have become a smaller percentage of the electorate in Dallas County, as more of them now live in Collin and Denton County. The result - the Democratic performance of countywide candidates in Dallas County has increased by about 1.5-2% each election cycle since 2000 based on demographics alone (with the obvious variables being the strength of individual candidates, and the local, statewide and national mood towards or against both parties).

Harris County is in a very similar situation as Dallas. It's movement towards Democrats is about 1-2 cycles behind Dallas largely because Harris County incorporates more of it's Republican-leaning suburbs than Dallas does. Demographics will soon make Harris County majority Democratic though - if not 2008 then in 2010.



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written by Jeff Turner , June 18, 2008

dt:

Thank you for sharing your thoughts about this matter. But I hope that you will refrain, next time, from making unwarranted conclusions and ad hominem remarks. You're the first person to ever call me a "liberal." I am indeed a liberal, but of the 19th century kind. Ludwig von Mises once wrote that the word liberal needs to be reclaimed; it derives from the Latin word for freedom. My first vote for President was cast for Ronald Wilson Reagan; I was a founder of a group back in '84 called Teenage Republicans; in high school I was active with the Young Republicans in Arlington (we met at the Coors plant; you gotta know how great that was for a 17 year old); I campaigned for Kent Hance for Governor when in college. I voted for Alan Keyes in the 1996 primary. I never voted for George W. Bush as gov. or pres. because I always thought, contrary to popular belief, that he was his father's son. I could go on. dt, is that enough of a Republican resume for your satisfaction? Actually, that's more of a conservative resume; I like the Texas Republican Party, and as long as it sticks to its conservative platform, I'm 100% with it. But just as friends don't let friends drive drunk, so true Republicans don't let the party stray too far.



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written by michael a. , June 18, 2008

I can't imagine anything more offensive to the founding fathers than a war thrust on a sovereign nation, unprovoked and lying to the American people to make it so. But you keep telling yourself whatever you like.


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written by Paul Perry , June 18, 2008

Good quote.......


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written by Paul Perry , June 18, 2008

By Ian Perry, that is.....


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written by Ken Dickson This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it , June 18, 2008

well, the drumbeat goes on from the the BB's (Bush Bashers)thst csn say nothing good about not having to been attacked on our soil after 9/11 & acknowledging the fact that they have resisted domestic energy production for these 30-odd years while now their "buzzards" have finally come home to roost & again, they blame Bush!!


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written by Jason K , June 18, 2008

So did Clinton get praise after us not getting attacked on US soil after the first WTC bombing?

I'm not so quick to give Bush credit for that. This is something the gov't works against all the time. It doesn't really matter who's in office.

Now blaming him for current energy prices is far fetched. I can see where he can be blamed for a weak dollar because of the war though. That has definately helped oil costs increase.

I wish Reagan wouldn't have messed with the solar energy budget when he got into office. We could be so much farther along than we are now.



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written by ElHombre , June 18, 2008

I have absolutely no pity for the mess the rs have placed themselves in. Their only hope is that Americans completely forget the mess that the Rs have created during this century.

A pity the media already seems likely to assist them.



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written by Ken Dickson This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it , June 19, 2008

the blame does not go straight to the Rs...it goes to many who just can't understand that we had not been attacked on our soil for a long time much less had to cope with an international terror plot! The energy crisis would have been avoided if all in government would have allowed our domestic energy sector to develop along with fuel- efficient vehicles rather than just "fiddling while Rome was burning" over the last 30 years!


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written by Ian Perry , June 19, 2008

Mr. Dickson, several of the "Bush bashers" here are if anything stronger supporters of getting the government out of the way of the market than you, given our strict adherence to the tenth amendment limitations on federal power. I think simply catagorizing people as "Paulites" or "Bush bashers" is in this case serving to lower the intellectual caliber of the discussion.

When it comes to the Bush administration, at this point we all should be able to agree that, at the very least, the war in Iraq was a poor way to respond to militant Islamic fundamentalism. If not, why not?



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written by michael a. , June 20, 2008

I will never understand why people still think Iraq had something to do with 9/11. How many people have to tell you before you believe it. And taking resources away from Afghanistan has been a huge error and not persuing Osama Bin Laden into Pakistan. I will defend to anybody Bush's decision to go into Afghanistan but Iraq is a blunder.


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written by Steven heath , June 21, 2008

Hey Dt - I was delegate at the convention for the 9th straight time, and I can assure you Jeff and others did not "worm their way into the convention". It appears you were conned by the same people who have sponsored and own both the Neocon talk radio and the New York Times. Judith Miller or Bill Krystal - what's the difference. They're both liars carrying out their own agenda which is screwing the average American. They're owned by the same elitist SOB's who have run the country into the ground and who both promoted this foolish war. Look at the market and the economy. The chickens are coming home to roost. Quit listening to Fox news and maybe you'll figure out what a true conservative is supposed to be.



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