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Hillary Has the Right to Stay In PDF Print E-mail
by Carolyn Barta    Mon, Jun 2, 2008, 05:40 PM

It's not over til the fat lady sings and that hasn't happened yet for the Democratic nomination.  Yes, fatty may be warming up in the wings, but the final notes have not been sung. Until the race is really over, Hillary Clinton has every right to hang in there and keep her campaign alive -- even taking it to the convention. After all, that's what conventions are for -- to count the delegates and determine the nominee.   

The media, Democratic party bosses and Obama supporters have for weeks been calling for Clinton  to "graciously" concede -- even as she continues to win more primaries than Barack Obama and by bigger margins, such as in Puerto Rico Sunday where she won two-thirds of the vote.

Meanwhile, the media and the party long ago adopted Obama's message that he is, in fact, the nominee.  He has kissed her off and that message was a strategic move for him, which has been bought by party leaders and most of the media.  On Tuesday night, after the final two primaries, he will declare victory, whether he has the necessary number or delegates or not.

It reminds me of when the networks prematurely declared George W. Bush the winner of Florida in 2000, and therefore the nominee.  When the outcome in Florida then was called into question, many people still believed that Bush had won Florida in the first place and the U.S. Supreme Court simply affirmed that.

Now, with only two primaries remaining on Tuesday-- South Dakota and Montana with only 31 delegates at stake -- Clinton has scheduled her final "victory party" in New York.  In typical fashion of the reporting over the last few weeks, Andrea Mitchell of MSNBC Monday asked senior Clinton advisor Harold Ickes if that means she's going to announce the end of her campaign in her home state.

TV reporters are consumed with the question of when Clinton will throw in the towel.  ABC's George Stephanopoulos has speculated it may be Wednesday and surely will be by the end of the week.

Barack Obama does not yet have enough delegates to be awarded the nomination. According to NBC's count, he needs 42 more delegates and Clinton needs 198.  Since the Florida-Michigan decision, Obama has picked up five superdelegates and Clinton has gotten two.

Ickes told MSNBC Monday, "We do not believe that by midnight tomorrow that either candidate will have the new magic number." The new number, based on the addition of Michigan and Florida delegates at half strength, is 2,118.

Clinton has suggested she may challenge the Democratic National Committee's new number, based on the decision over the weekend on Florida and Michigan.  Ickes has raised a legitimate question regarding why the delegate strength from Michigan's uncommitted votes were arbitrarily assigned to Obama, who had taken his name off the Michigan ballot.

Clinton also is still trying to attract uncommitted superdelegates and convince supers who have announced for Obama to change their minds, arguing that she has proved she is a stronger candidate in the general election by virtue of the states she has won and the varied constituencies that support her.  By her calculations, she has won a majority of the popular vote.  Super delegates are not pledged and have until the convention to decide which candidate they support.  Some supers have switched back and forth.

Here's the bottom line.  The purpose of national conventions is to select the party nominee.  In recent years, since the era of media politics began, parties have been anxious to determine the nominee beforehand and turn the conventions into a PR push, a promotional show, for the ticket. Parties have forgotten that conventions were once the place where serious business was conducted, from determining the nominee to adopting platforms that were actually debated and rules for the next contest.

This is the closest race for the nomination in decades.  It's even closer than 1976 when Ronald Reagan hired James Baker to be his "delegate counter" and pursued his goal of picking off still uncommitted and Gerald Ford delegates and taking his pursuit of the nomination to the national convention.  It didn't work, but he had every right to do it.

Same can be said for Hillary Clinton.  She has run an admirable campaign and fought long and hard.  Democrats want it over with so that there are no fireworks, hurt feelings and divisions after the convention.  Nice idea, but that's not the way the system is supposed to work.

Hillary Clinton has every right to take her campaign to the convention -- still 2 1/2 months away. And she should do so.

Comments (11)add comment
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written by sal costello , June 02, 2008

And, everyone has the right to talk crazy.

: )



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written by Bob Abbott , June 02, 2008

I agree with the 1st comment. It's nuts to think that going all the way to the convention, and leaving everything in-limbo, would be anything but counterproductive. Remember EVERY Democratic brokered-convention resulted in a Republican victory.
If she fights all the way to the convention, whether she is the nominee or not...Dems very likely LOSE, a brokered-convention could destroy one of the most winnable Presidential races (for Democrats) in history.
It's not about whether she has the _right_, it's about whether she has the _will_ to understand past history and work to avoid it by conceding.



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written by bettyculbreath , June 03, 2008

You know that the people just want Hillary to take an honorable exit.The good of the Party and Country are at stake. Hillary is thinking about self only and that is my main reason for being on the other side. McCain will beat Hillary three to one if she becomes the nominee. She and the media have played the race card, tried to blame Obama for everything said by anyone but he is still winning and can Beat McCain.The man has no credible baggage and he is brilliant.


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written by outspokenone , June 03, 2008

What issue do you have with Senator Obama? It is now time to unify the party. We had a spirited contest and now it is time to focus on John McSame.


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written by enditnow , June 03, 2008

Oh, Carolyn...are you really serious?

This election has been over since before the Texas Primary, for anyone who can do basic delegate math. The big wins that Clinton has had in the past few races mirror the 30 or more point victories Mke Huckabee had before he dropped out too.

She would have to get almost 90 percent of the remaining delegates to get this nomination.

Surely, as a veteran political reporter, you've got more clarity on the issue.

Or, are you one the media members who just can't stand that this is really over?



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written by enditnow , June 03, 2008

Oh Carolyn:

Are you serious? Surely, you're not. Hillary's is racking up big wins late in this primary because folks are angry that Obama won it in February. She never saw him coming, and she and her supporters have been waging this war of attrition for months.

But she cannot win. She would have to get 90 percent of all remaining delegates (super and today's contests).

He must get 11 percent.

Her electability arguments (at least as it pertains to slamming HIS) are a red herring.

This has been divisive for months, and I can't imagine you can't see that.

Hillary has the right to stay in. And I have the right to believe I will be president someday too.

But that doesn't mean either one of us ought to be working toward that goal right now.



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written by tom in dallas , June 03, 2008

If the Nomination went to the Convention, the TV ratings would be a lot better than the infomercial the party wants to have.I love politics, but seldom watch the conventions.


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written by Dr. Little , June 03, 2008

Do not "count her out" : Hillary and Bill, and their support group, are experienced and Hillary very well may get the nomination of the Democrat party. The Obama camp is not willing to offer Hillary enough at this point to placate her and unless they put her on the ticket, she has no incentive to "stand down", for in her political world she knows that she certainly cannot win by doing that, and in her political world the main goal is all about her, and her prospects. The "Clinton" camp could openly embarrass Mr. Obama in a way that would render him unelectable, and they have the information at hand to do so; or they can take their case to the superdelegates and simply embarrass Mr. Obama privately : either way, the message that the "Clintonistas" have been floating already is that Mr. Obama is not electable, and that Hillary is. This coming week should be an interesting one.



...
written by Jonathan Green , June 03, 2008

Democrat Barack Obama leads Republican John McCain 49%-44% among "likely" voters, the latest USA TODAY/Gallup Poll shows. A month ago, McCain had a 48%-47% advantage.

Obama's advantage narrows slightly among registered voters, to 47%-44%.

Meanwhile, Democrat Hillary Rodham Clinton leads McCain 48%-44% among likely voters and 49%-43% among registered voters. A month ago, she trailed McCain 49%-46% among likely voters.




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written by HSH , June 03, 2008

Your number is wrong. Senator Obama needs only 36 delegates to clinch. Senator Clinton needs 200.5. He'll have the 36, and more, by close of business tomorrow, if not sooner. Sen. Clinton has run a historic race. But this thing is done. Put a fork in it.


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written by Holy Roller , June 03, 2008

Hillary needs to concede tonight or Wednesday. The Texas Democratic Convention begins on Thursday and we DONT need a floor fight in Austin. All it would do is fracture the already unstable collection of "new" Democrats who have made it a point to become delegates to state. Although I am kind of excited that she may attend the convention to speak.



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