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Clinton's Fate in Hands of Women PDF Print E-mail
by Carolyn Barta    Sun, Mar 2, 2008, 03:22 PM

The demographics of Texas have been sliced and diced by the analysts and pollsters – from the Hispanic to the black vote, to the generational divide, to urban vs East Texas vs South Texas. In the final showdown on Tuesday, Hillary Clinton’s fortunes in Texas will rise or fall on her strength with women. It’s up to the Old Girl Network.

Clinton knows it and she’s been playing to her strength, particularly in the last few days. At a recent rally here, after she stopped speaking, the loudspeaker blared the old anthem “Nine to Five,” recalling the days when women’s equality was not where it is today.

At her rally in Fair Park Saturday, the crowd roared when a speaker announced that a high percent of early voter were women over 50. That’s her base. While this primary has produced record-breaking early voting, due in large measure to Obama-mania and interest by non-traditional voters, 69 percent of the early vote was cast by people older than age 40 and 41 percent of the votes were from older women.

Barack Obama’s appeal has been strongest with people younger than 40 and, according to pollster John Zogby, Obama leads among young voters, men and blacks, and holds almost 60 percent support in Houston and Dallas. Clinton is known to be a polarizing figure for men, and Obama has generational appeal to young women, who are excited about the hopefulness and idealism of his candidacy.

The workhorses for Hillary are women of her age group, who have bumped against the glass ceiling, the single mothers and grandmothers who have struggled to support families, the feminists who fought yesterday’s battle. They’re working. For example, former Ambassador and Dallas politico Kathryn Hall is hosting Gloria Steinem for a lunch Monday for women supporters who commit to bringing one undecided woman with them.

Brandishing her female credentials, Clinton told voters at a Fair Park rally Saturday that they need “someone with experience cleaning house. It took a Clinton to clean up after the first Bush,” she said. Then she urged supporters to “grab your brooms, mops and vacuum cleaners and come on up and help me out.”

Hot pink flyers called on Texas women to “stand up” for Hillary. “We need you to reach out to your networks, your friends, sisters, daughters, granddaughters, mothers, grandmothers, neighbors, and colleagues” and get them to vote for her and then join the “Biggest Girl’s Night Out in Texas history” by going to caucuses.

While most of the polls are showing a slight Obama lead in Texas, anecdotal evidence suggests a late surge by the Clinton campaign in their precinct organizing efforts and the realization by some women that this may be the only chance in their lifetime to see a woman president.

To be sure, Clinton’s strength with women has eroded over the course of the campaign. An AP-Ipsos poll in December showed her with 52 percent support of women compared to 19 percent for Obama, while exit polls from the AP and TV networks from 22 Democratic primaries show that lead to be down to 51 percent to 45 percent. Obama split the female vote with her in Wisconsin. In Texas and Ohio, she’s playing the gender card in an effort to get women back. Ohio polls give her a double-digit lead among women.

Clinton has been telling audiences that a woman in the White House would present “a real challenge to the way things have been done, and who gets to do them and what the rules are.”

In Texas, it will take a strong coalition of Hispanic voters and older women to blunt Obama’s appeal to blacks, the youth and unlikely voters. According to some news reports, young Hispanic leaders in the Valley have jumped on the Obama bandwagon. Women, with their brooms and mops and vacuum cleaners, will have to pick up the slack.

Some Dallas women I know who vote Democratic are lining up with Obama because they feel he has the best chance in November. But another one told me, “I’ve been back and forth and back and forth and it’s finally come down to this – the Old Girls’ Network.”

Comments (8)add comment
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written by Greg Tanner , March 03, 2008

To Carolyn Barta

My name is Greg Tanner - I am a producer at Sky News in London, England.

We are very keen to people blogging on the US elections. We have a team in Dallas this week with a satellite truck - and I was wondering whether you'd be able to speak to us live on air tomorrow (Tuesday 4th March) evening.

Please contact me on 44 207 585 4570 or This e-mail address is being protected from spam bots, you need JavaScript enabled to view it .

Regards

Greg



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written by Mary Ellen , March 03, 2008

Greg, I will be willing to speak to you live on air. My phone is 214-478-8999. Carolyn's facts are not entirely true.


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written by Carolyn J. Barta , March 03, 2008

Mary Ellen: This column is mostly my opinion, which clearly is disputable. But what's wrong with what facts?


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written by Political hack , March 06, 2008

Apparently, Hillary is more popular in Texas than Obama for good reason. We are 52% women (majority). Nationally, however, women remain more challenged than men (of any color) in obtaining positions of power - and women here know that and did react to that.

Hillary is one of 16 US female senators out of 100. That's women covering 16% of our representative population, when in fact they should be represented by >50%. Very pathetic. Thank goodness Texans have a long legacy of electing women leaders (both good ones and not so good ones). Texas currently have a terrific US Senator of our own in Kay Bailey Hutchison - who got elected with over 80% of the vote here. It certainly will be interesting if Hillary is the nominee and then our own Senator KBH or Secretary Rice could end up with the VP nomination...that would be a whole different situation for women voters - choice! From the days of being chattel - that's a long road traveled.



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written by BettyCulbreath , March 06, 2008

I am a 66 year old woman and I support Obama because in my life time I want a President who will spend some time and energy on America. Hillary claims 35 year of service that includes the eight years Bill was in the White House
how can she now not like NAFTA when he and she were leaders of it. How can she ask Obama about one real estate deal on his home when she and Bill had many scandals involving real estate deals.(WhiteWater) The Clinton years were rocked with scandal and he was up for impeachment. It was one thing after another, so no I can not support her just because she is a woman.If she answers that phone at 3AM Bill will be there to ask and answer.



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written by Political hack , March 07, 2008

Illinois politics has been rife with scandal over and over (with numerous folks who have gone to jail), and the latest Federal justice department investigation of a 20 year good pal of Obama's (which includes direct financial arrangements with Obama) is just another chapter in outing the vast corruption network in Illinois politics...Remember, Obama is a product of that political enviroment - it's all he has known. We should examine the real estate issue very closely, along with Obama's personal financials and his ties to Exelon Corporation, and Obama should come clean and face the press with specific answers (which he has failed to do thus far). Hillary has faced every issue the press has raised and has been scrutinized every which way...

If a WOMAN of any race sought the presidency with Obama's thin credentials and was the same young age (46), she'd not be taken seriously and she would be told she did not have enough experience! The press would be equally harsh and critical of such a candidacy. It's appalling in 2008 that there exists such a double standard still. Women are still paid 22% less than men for similar work in the US.

It's interesting that Obama thinks he "deserves" to be the party's candidate over Hillary, when it was Hillary who fought for the civil rights and affirmative action he has enjoyed and has never fought for, yet has been its beneficiary.

Betty, while you may not like Hillary, would you support other women, including our own Texas US Senator Hutchinson (who spends a great deal of time and energy supporting America and Texas) if she were to run for President or VP (versus Obama)?



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written by BettyCulbreath , March 07, 2008

I have supported woman ,just to name a few, Kay Granger, Kay Baily Hutchinson, Eddie Bernice Johnson , Barbers Jordon, Shirley Chisum for President.You are on that women v. men page and I am not. If Hillary were a man I would not vote for him.I also fough for civil rights for both of them. I was there when woman were added as a protective class. I want a fresh President with new ideas, young people involved and children in the White House as in the Kennedy days. George Bush nor Ronald Reagan had any years in Federal government prior to becoming President. Obama has seven years total State and US Senate. Hillery has seven in the US Senate and four as First Lady. I also could be President if you add my 41 years in public service for free plus my 40 years of working in the public sector. I would have 81 years of service. I want a President that will
put America first. I do not want a retread of the scandal rocked White House of the Clintons.



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written by Elsa Gonzales , March 11, 2008

Great article. Thanks, Carla. Obama fans fail to undestand that Obama has been running a campaign every 2 years? He chose the "change" theme b/c that is what his team told him the Amer. people want. He did not run on "change" before. He did not produce any major change in the IL State Senate. Obama fans look at his past. He is part of the Chicago/Daley politics. Reiko is a Syrian national, to boot, read up on it. His Church preaches separatism. What about Larry Sinclair? I voted for Hillary b/c she is more qualified than Obama and knows how to get things done.



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