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Clinton Wins! PDF Print E-mail
by Rufus Shaw    Wed, Jan 9, 2008, 10:36 AM

I am a Democrat and like most Democrats I feel that the 2008 election is our chance to take back the White House.  Until Iowa, I, like most Democrats, thought that Senator Hillary Clinton was our best candidate to lead the Democrats to victory in November.  Senator Barack Obama’s historic win in the Iowa caucuses threw conventional wisdom out the window and had the world seriously considering the possibility of America having our first Black president.  Now, Ms. Clinton has defied the pundits, made a mockery of the polls, and beat Obama in New Hampshire.  However, instead of jubilation in the Democratic Party, there should be serious concern.  Due to some ugly last minute campaign tactics by former President Bill Clinton, Hillary Clinton’s New Hampshire win may have begun to fracture the long standing coalition between the Democratic Party, the Clintons, and the Black electorate.

Barack Obama’s quest to become the nation’s first Black president has garnered unprecedented publicity that may have led to inflated and false poll numbers.  Leading up to the New Hampshire election, polls showed Obama handily defeating Senator Clinton.  But, somehow the polls were drastically wrong, causing some African-Americans to question the sincerity of poll respondents.  In the past, there has always been a question as to how sincere white respondents would be to polls involving race. The thought being that some white respondents would say one thing in response to a poll asking about voting for a Black candidate and vote another way in the privacy of the voting booth.

The ugliest episode thus far in the Democratic primary fight between the Clintons and Obama came when former President Bill Clinton acted very unpresidential by launching ugly criticisms at Senator Obama.  Mr. Clinton’s remarks were quickly panned by most media pundits.  Donna Brazile, one of the Democratic Party’s most influential Black political players, declared she was insulted as a Black person by the former president’s remarks thus setting the stage for questions regarding the Clintons’ current relationship with the Black community.

By criticizing Barack Obama, the Clintons risk not only the Black vote in November, if she wins the nomination; but, Bill Clinton also risks his legacy as a hero to the African-American community.  Barack Obama should not be exempt from criticism.  But the Clintons have to be very careful how they do it.  Bill Clinton’s political popularity and his wife’s power base are to a large extent centered in the Black community.  Granted, Hillary Clinton should do well among women as she did in New Hampshire. But even if she wins the nomination on the strength of white women voters, she would be doomed in the general election if the Black electorate is disenchanted with the Clintons because of how they campaigned against Senator Obama.

There is a chance that the Clintons may play hardball and raise the issue of race and gender to win the Democratic nomination.  The gender issue could be used to continue to generate excitement among white women voters for Ms. Clinton’s historical campaign to become the first woman president.  Race could be used to suggest that Mr. Obama could not win against a Republican in November because not enough white voters would vote for him. The race and gender tactic may very well prove successful in getting Hillary Clinton the Democratic nomination.  If so, smart attack-oriented Republican operatives will not let the Black community forget how the Clintons used race to deny the African-American community our historic opportunity.  There is little doubt if such a scenario plays out; the Democrats will be in trouble in November if Hillary wins the nomination by demonizing Obama.

The Clinton’s have several positives to promote about Hillary’s campaign that would make going negative against Senator Obama unnecessary. Senator Hillary Clinton should talk about Hillary Clinton and former President Bill Clinton should talk about Hillary Clinton.  Continued negative talk about Barack Obama may cause the Clintons to blow this opportunity to win back the White House for the Democrats.  At least that is how I see it from South of the Trinity.

Comments (13)add comment
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written by jb , January 09, 2008

I struggle to understand why Obama should be immune to the same criticism that the Clintons are famous for lobbing at others.

There is something dreadfully wrong when the first response to an Obama loss is to make the broad brush stroke that whites cannot be trusted. Quite frankly, I find this level of racial rhetoric to be repugnant.



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written by tj , January 09, 2008

I think that it is amazing how an educated decision(at least it should be)to vote for president can be interpreted to be a racist decision. Really, either Obama or Clinton would be a win for minorities and the citizens of the U.S. for that matter. What harm can a very intelligent woman or very intelligent Black man bring to this country? I think that we have seen what a C student at Yale can do. I don't see the point in bringing race or sexism into politics. Whatever happened to voting for the most qualified person for the job. Don't bring race, sexism, and hate to the table. It doesn't belong.


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written by sal costello , January 09, 2008

Obama might boost his numbers if he could give us a good cry (in front of the cameras of course).


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written by Jason K , January 09, 2008

"the past, there has always been a question as to how sincere white respondents would be to polls involving race."

The problem with using this logic now is that Obama rec'd around the percentage of votes he should have if you average out the polls from right before the election.
It was Clinton who jumped up in the voting, but not at the expense of Obama.



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written by Dr. Peter Stern , January 09, 2008

You, like most Democrats, are mistaken. Obama is doing well mostly because of big dollars and Oprah's support. Millions of ignorant television couchers will vote Obama as long as Oprah's name is the association. Where are the issues? That's what I ask as a Realist. Everyone wants "change", but what really is that elusive word? Personally, I don't think middle America can identify with Clinton or Obama. They could better identify with Edwards. As a Disabled Vietnam Veteran myself, I can respect that part of Sen. McCain, but his mental stability is questionable. He's been a Bush fence sitter for years. Does middle America identify with McCain? It's doubtful. The truth is that once again American voters are being short-changed by the lack of qualified candidates who intelligently review the real issues and explain how they will create positive change.


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written by Judge Carlos R. Cortez , January 09, 2008

Mr. Shaw, I'm missing something. What was the slam that Pres. Clinton made against Sen. Obama? That Obama's anti-war record is a "fairy tale"? That's the racist remark? As far as Dr. Stern, you hit it right on the nose. Everyone is amazed at how well Obama is doing with women voters and none of the pundits and political experts have stated the obvious. It's because of OPRAH's support!


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written by thomas , January 10, 2008

Where was the "racism" when Sen. Obama won handily in lily-white Iowa?????

By the way, don't be played the fool by the Clinton's. They do not have anyone's best interests at heart other than their own. Bill's little tirade exposed him for what he and his wife really are.



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written by Faith Chatham , January 10, 2008

What I like about Cinton's win in NH is that for once ladies 65 and over are acknowledged as having some political clout! I'm not 65 yet but I am pushing it. Usually political consultants (and pundits) tout the power of minorities and young voters and forget that old gals of all races are the ones who hang in there and consistently vote! This time even more showed up and it is acknowledged as a significant voting segment which helped determine the NH Primary.


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written by Todd Zimmerman , January 11, 2008

Okay, Im a white independant...here is how I see it.
So...what, we're still in the 60's? It looks like some people think we are, its terrible, and wrong, we arent! So stop with the pot stirring already!
I wouldnt vote Obama for one reason, and its not because he's black, NO experience, he doesnt have any, tell us sir, what has he done other than being black. I'll wait, I didnt think he had. Name the legislation he has sponsored, something, anything.
Clinton, she's still the same woman that ran the Whitehouse like Stalin. Are you Democrats sure you want that "change" back in there? Open your eyes already, theres no change in a Clinton win, just the same ol same rhetoric and empty lying promises.
What has she really done other than criticize Bush and the Republicans? She came up with a laim brain medical proposal that would break the US, doesnt want out of Iraq, because its actually practical to stay and she knows that, but slams Bush anyway, thats what your after? Other than being a woman, and a socialist, which we all know she is, lay out the case for Clinton, what is her platform?
A Clinton is a Clinton, you would think you people would have learned that by now. They are all about power, and could care less about middle America. Her and her husband spout off about "the rich", I have news for you, THEY ARE THE RICH! Do you really think the Clintons, or Obama for that matter, can relate to the folks in the sunny southside? Really?
Bottom line....We dont have a real Democrat running, they ran Joe L. off, he was the only one, tell me I'm wrong, all we have are liberal, living in the 60's "progressives" after power grabs, period.
We have civil rights activists, that have no business being in business anymore, causing racial tension for no reason, other than trying to be a player today, backing a black man and a woman, simply because they are. What a shame they arent actually searching for real people, with the needed experience, with new ideas, and fresh attitudes to run for office for the democratic party.
Get a clue already, please!



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written by JR , January 11, 2008

Rufus havent your learned by now that the only thing the Clintons have ever done for Black People is to put them in their place.




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written by Political Watcher , January 12, 2008

“There are many things I have fought for in my life, and first and foremost is my belief that every man, woman and child should be given an equal opportunity to succeed. That is my guiding principal in the upcoming South Carolina Democratic Presidential primary. I told the DNC, the South Carolina Democratic Party and the South Carolina General Assembly that I would do everything I could to ensure this first in the South primary is a success. My position and my focus remain the same, and I have conveyed that to the campaigns of Senators Obama, Clinton and Edwards.
“I encourage the candidates to be sensitive about the words they use. This is an historic race for America to have such strong, diverse candidates vying for the Democratic nomination. I want what is best for South Carolina and the nation – a successful South Carolina primary and a strong Democratic nominee.”




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written by Mary Ellen Malone , January 22, 2008

Rufus, What would you have Hillary do? It seems that any comment about Obama is taken as rascist (which is a clever Rove-like twist perpetrated by his campaign manager Axelrod (whom I know). That is a way to put any comment off-message. So, what would you suggest?


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written by Support for cange , February 09, 2008

I think Barack Obama will make changes and Billary Clinton is business as usual



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