Scott Rasmussen is among the most accurate pollsters in America.  However, he seems not to know that there are two Democrats seeking their party's nomination for Governor of Texas.  Still, his most recent poll on the Texas race shows the incumbent Republican Rick Perry with something to worry about.  The just released poll shows Perry with 41% versus 21% for Independent/Republican Carole Keeton Strayhorn, 14% for Independent Kinky Friedman and 13% for Democrat Chris Bell.  Although Rasmussen apparently didn't poll for Democrat Bob Gammage it is reasonable to assume his numbers at this point would be roughly the same as Bell's.

Perry, of course, boasts a 19% lead and according to Rasmussen "must be considered the favorite." Strayhorn would have to pick up 20% of the vote just to catch Perry, but polls indicating she is the clear second in a November race may well attract votes from Friedman and the Democrat.  A clear question is how well Friedman's candidacy will stand up over the long haul.  Many political observers assume many of his voters won't bother to vote, or will eventually switch to either the Comptroller Strayhorn or the Democratic nominee.  The question then is can Strayhorn capture any of Perry's current support and whittle the Democrat down from 13%.  Both appear tall orders but the Rasmussen poll indicates the fall may be more interesting than many now expect.

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