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THE BUTTERFLY EFFECT IN THE ROSE BOWL Print E-mail
by Norm Hitzges    Wed, Jan 4, 2006, 04:15 PM

We’ve been waiting for this game for 6 months now. I can’t remember a time in College Football where the preseason #1 has ever met the preseason #2 for the National Championship. As much as I rail on the BCS, the BCS has given us this gift.

I think a lot of people are tired of the hype at this point and they are ready to watch the action. When the preseason polls came out everyone looked at the schedules and said, “…Wow, Texas has got to get past Ohio St…” and they did. They said, “…USC has got to get past Notre Dame…” and they did. Now we are left with two undefeated teams.

Both teams had to avoid falling asleep and getting upset by lesser teams. And they both achieved their goals. They played great seasons and are both worthy of winning the National Championship.

Texas can take a little encouragement that good teams have had some success running the ball against USC. On the other hand, the Texas pass offense hasn’t faced anything like USC. Texas also hasn’t faced anything like the passing attack of USC. Texas faces a challenge that is way further down the line statistically then they have faced yet. Statistically, don’t count on Texas grabbing a lot of interceptions.

I love stats and the stats here speak volumes here.

But, as much as I love stats, USC has one huge advantage that has nothing to do with stats. It’s the Butterfly Effect. USC has been battle tested. USC has played a handful of huge games like this throughout the last 3 seasons. USC has been protecting an impressive winning streak.

Yes they will be nervous. You can’t play a in a game of this magnitude without being nervous. But how nervous will the Longhorns be. I think that is the key.

Texas cannot afford to get behind early in this game. That means they need to get rid of the butterflies as soon as possible. I don’t know how Mack is going to handle this. But, I do know that he is the perfect man for the job.

I think that USC has the edge in this game. But, that does not mean that they are going to beat UT in a rout. Texas has a strong strong team. They’ve got a gamebreaker at QB.

It would be hard for this game to live up to the hype. But I think this matchup might hold it’s own when you compare it to the other big games in the history of the NCAA.
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